Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +3 (126-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 38 | 14-22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 35 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 33 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 28 | 4-16 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 18 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 11 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Tucker * | 38 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 36 | 8-29 | 2-18 | 11-12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 33 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 30 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 36 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyson Chandler | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter