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2019-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% -
Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.8% 26.2% -
Log Adjusted 73.8% 26.2% -
Points Off/Def 63.3% 36.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -24 (84-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 34 4-11 3-9 0-0 7 8 1 1 11 - -
Fred VanVleet * 30 5-14 3-8 3-3 4 6 1 0 16 - -
Pascal Siakam * 28 7-15 1-5 4-4 6 4 1 0 19 - -
OG Anunoby * 25 7-11 3-6 0-0 6 2 1 4 17 - -
Marc Gasol * 23 1-2 1-1 2-2 10 2 0 1 5 - -
Norman Powell 27 3-9 1-5 0-0 6 3 3 0 7 - -
Serge Ibaka 20 8-12 1-2 1-1 7 0 0 3 18 - -
Matt Thomas 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Terence Davis 11 0-1 0-0 4-4 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Stanley Johnson 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Malcolm Miller 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 2 2 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 30 3-10 1-4 2-4 7 1 3 0 9 - -
Zach LaVine * 30 4-13 1-4 2-3 1 4 0 0 11 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 26 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 8 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 23 6-14 0-2 0-2 11 0 0 0 12 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 20 2-7 1-4 4-5 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Coby White 22 3-14 0-4 2-2 6 1 2 0 8 - -
Kris Dunn 18 0-5 0-2 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 17 2-2 1-1 1-1 2 4 1 0 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 16 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Luke Kornet 16 2-9 1-5 2-2 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Shaquille Harrison 11 1-6 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Denzel Valentine 4 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Daniel Gafford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter