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2019-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 37.2% 62.8% +2.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 62.1% 37.9% -
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.6% 23.4% -
Log Adjusted 76.6% 23.4% -
Points Off/Def 65.7% 34.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +11 (110-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 39 3-9 2-4 3-4 11 1 0 1 11 - -
T.J. Warren * 36 6-15 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 12 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 34 12-18 4-6 2-2 2 10 1 1 30 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 32 6-13 0-0 2-2 5 2 2 0 14 - -
Edmond Sumner * 16 4-5 0-1 2-3 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Justin Holiday 24 4-10 2-7 0-0 5 2 2 0 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 20 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 5 2 0 2 - -
TJ Leaf 18 1-5 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Doug McDermott 12 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Goga Bitadze 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Thompson * 34 11-16 1-2 2-2 13 0 0 3 25 - -
Kevin Love * 33 5-8 3-5 8-9 13 9 2 0 21 - -
Collin Sexton * 30 6-14 2-3 4-6 5 3 0 0 18 - -
Darius Garland * 29 5-12 2-5 0-0 1 4 1 0 12 - -
Cedi Osman * 27 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 20 3-6 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 2 6 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 4-7 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 18 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Clarkson 17 5-8 2-3 3-4 2 1 2 0 15 - -
John Henson 8 1-2 0-1 1-6 3 0 2 2 3 - -
Tyler Cook 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter