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2019-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 66.3% 33.7% -
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% -
Margin 64.7% 35.3% -3.3 (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.9% 36.1% -
Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -
Log Adjusted 82.9% 17.1% -
Points Off/Def 71.4% 28.6% -

Actual: New York Knicks -23 (95-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 33 5-17 2-7 3-4 9 0 3 2 15 - -
Kemba Walker * 30 11-17 7-12 3-4 6 4 2 0 32 - -
Jaylen Brown * 27 6-14 1-5 6-8 4 2 1 1 19 - -
Gordon Hayward * 26 4-10 1-2 0-0 6 3 1 0 9 - -
Robert Williams III * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 1 4 - -
Marcus Smart 27 3-9 3-8 3-3 6 4 1 2 12 - -
Carsen Edwards 22 3-11 1-6 3-4 1 3 2 0 10 - -
Grant Williams 19 3-4 0-1 1-3 1 1 2 3 7 - -
Semi Ojeleye 14 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Vincent Poirier 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Brad Wanamaker 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Javonte Green 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Tacko Fall 3 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 36 9-21 4-6 4-7 7 3 0 0 26 - -
Elfrid Payton * 30 2-7 2-3 2-2 4 5 4 0 8 - -
Julius Randle * 29 4-12 0-2 2-4 10 3 1 0 10 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 28 3-9 0-2 6-6 7 1 1 0 12 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 19 7-7 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 3 17 - -
Bobby Portis 27 3-10 0-4 2-2 11 1 0 1 8 - -
Kevin Knox II 25 2-7 0-3 3-6 8 0 0 0 7 - -
Allonzo Trier 20 0-4 0-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Taj Gibson 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Damyean Dotson 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Frank Ntilikina 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter