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2019-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - ✓
Margin 59.3% 40.7% -2.1 ✓ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% - ✓
Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (111-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Richardson * 37 4-12 0-4 2-2 1 6 2 0 10 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 10-15 4-6 5-6 7 1 2 0 29 - -
Ben Simmons * 35 5-13 0-0 3-7 4 10 7 0 13 - -
Al Horford * 34 9-18 2-7 3-5 9 5 1 0 23 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 - -
Mike Scott 22 5-7 5-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Kyle O'Quinn 14 0-2 0-1 2-4 6 0 0 2 2 - -
Shake Milton 12 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 10 - -
James Ennis III 11 3-4 0-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Raul Neto 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Markieff Morris * 26 5-7 2-4 5-7 6 1 2 1 17 - -
Tony Snell * 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 6 2 0 3 - -
Andre Drummond * 24 5-10 0-0 3-10 12 1 0 2 13 - -
Tim Frazier * 21 2-6 1-2 1-2 2 4 2 0 6 - -
Bruce Brown * 15 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Luke Kennard 32 6-11 1-3 3-3 1 2 0 0 16 - -
Derrick Rose 26 14-21 1-1 2-2 3 3 3 2 31 - -
Langston Galloway 25 2-3 1-1 4-6 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Thon Maker 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 2 - -
Christian Wood 19 4-6 1-3 2-4 5 0 0 0 11 - -

* = starter