Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -5 (126-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justise Winslow * | 40 | 4-16 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 28 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 34 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 9-15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 27 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 15 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 12-21 | 0-5 | 5-9 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 30 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 17 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter