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2019-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 71.0% 29.0% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 39.5% 60.5% +2.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -10 (112-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 34 12-20 3-7 8-8 5 5 3 0 35 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 8-18 1-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 19 - -
Zach Collins * 31 2-5 1-2 4-4 4 5 0 0 9 - -
Rodney Hood * 30 3-8 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 8 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 26 9-10 0-0 4-6 9 3 1 1 22 - -
Kent Bazemore 23 4-7 1-3 0-0 8 5 0 2 9 - -
Anfernee Simons 21 6-9 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 15 - -
Mario Hezonja 17 2-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Anthony Tolliver 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Skal Labissiere 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 34 7-18 3-5 11-14 6 5 0 0 28 - -
Harrison Barnes * 33 5-10 2-3 1-1 5 1 1 0 13 - -
Buddy Hield * 31 7-18 4-11 3-3 5 1 0 0 21 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 27 3-5 1-2 2-2 7 1 1 0 9 - -
Dewayne Dedmon * 20 3-9 0-4 0-0 8 0 1 0 6 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 28 5-11 4-6 2-3 1 3 3 0 16 - -
Trevor Ariza 21 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Richaun Holmes 17 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 2 10 - -
Cory Joseph 14 1-3 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Yogi Ferrell 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -
Justin James 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Caleb Swanigan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter