Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -7 (116-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 10-19 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 8-17 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 33 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 31 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 33 | 6-16 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 31 | 10-20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 21 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 26 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 14 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 14 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter