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2019-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 57.8% 42.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% - ✗
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +5.0 ✗ (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - ✗
Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% - ✗

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -8 (102-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 33 13-23 4-8 7-10 6 4 3 1 37 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 31 4-15 1-10 0-0 11 3 0 1 9 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 26 2-4 0-1 3-4 7 0 2 1 7 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 21 1-6 1-4 1-1 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 21 2-7 0-2 5-5 3 2 4 1 9 - -
Coby White 30 10-16 4-8 1-2 6 2 0 0 25 - -
Kris Dunn 26 3-9 0-2 0-0 2 4 3 2 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 21 3-7 1-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 7 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 8 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Shaquille Harrison 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 32 9-17 1-3 4-6 11 2 1 1 23 - -
Jae Crowder * 30 5-13 3-10 0-0 9 3 0 0 13 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 2-12 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 1 6 - -
Ja Morant * 28 3-9 1-1 3-4 3 5 3 0 10 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 18 4-10 0-0 2-2 13 0 0 0 10 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 7-9 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 3 14 - -
Kyle Anderson 20 4-6 1-1 0-2 5 5 1 1 9 - -
Tyus Jones 19 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 3 0 0 4 - -
Grayson Allen 18 1-5 1-3 3-4 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Marko Guduric 17 3-8 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -

* = starter