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2019-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% -
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 41 2-11 2-5 2-2 5 6 1 1 8 - -
Kyle Lowry * 39 11-18 6-10 1-1 4 7 1 1 29 - -
OG Anunoby * 37 4-5 1-2 0-0 8 0 0 1 9 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 11-22 5-7 6-6 8 2 0 0 33 - -
Marc Gasol * 25 0-8 0-4 1-2 5 5 0 0 1 - -
Serge Ibaka 24 5-5 1-1 2-4 8 1 0 3 13 - -
Norman Powell 21 2-3 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Terence Davis 8 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Stanley Johnson 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 38 11-20 2-7 1-1 9 4 0 2 25 - -
Gordon Hayward * 36 5-12 3-4 2-2 8 2 0 0 15 - -
Kemba Walker * 36 8-22 2-8 4-4 6 2 2 2 22 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 8-22 4-7 5-5 9 4 3 0 25 - -
Daniel Theis * 14 0-7 0-1 1-2 6 1 0 2 1 - -
Marcus Smart 28 4-11 2-7 0-0 1 3 1 0 10 - -
Grant Williams 21 2-9 0-3 0-0 7 4 1 0 4 - -
Robert Williams III 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 6 - -
Brad Wanamaker 9 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 1 4 - -
Semi Ojeleye 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter