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2019-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% -
Bradley-Terry 59.9% 40.1% -
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -2.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -
Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.5% 30.5% -
Log Adjusted 69.5% 30.5% -
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -6 (111-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 33 4-16 3-9 0-0 8 3 1 1 11 - -
Wesley Matthews * 30 6-12 2-8 0-0 4 1 2 1 14 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 28 11-17 2-5 6-11 13 11 1 1 30 - -
Brook Lopez * 26 4-9 1-3 2-2 2 3 0 5 11 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 16 4-12 2-4 1-1 1 2 0 0 11 - -
George Hill 30 3-7 2-4 0-0 0 7 2 0 8 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 20 6-8 1-2 0-1 11 0 0 1 13 - -
Robin Lopez 16 1-3 0-2 0-3 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Pat Connaughton 16 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 10 - -
Kyle Korver 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 5 - -
Sterling Brown 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
PJ Tucker * 38 6-10 5-8 0-0 7 0 1 0 17 - -
James Harden * 36 2-13 1-8 14-14 7 14 1 1 19 - -
Russell Westbrook * 32 7-17 3-7 7-11 16 7 2 1 24 - -
Clint Capela * 30 5-10 0-0 3-6 12 0 1 3 13 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 26 2-6 2-4 2-2 2 3 1 1 8 - -
Eric Gordon 27 4-19 3-12 0-1 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Ben McLemore 14 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Austin Rivers 12 0-3 0-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Tyson Chandler 10 5-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter