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2019-10-24

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% -
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% -
Margin 47.9% 52.1% +0.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% -
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -17 (100-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 37 11-21 6-10 10-12 7 9 1 0 38 - -
John Collins * 30 8-15 1-3 1-1 10 1 2 1 18 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 25 5-8 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 14 - -
Alex Len * 23 1-5 0-2 2-2 6 1 2 1 4 - -
Cameron Reddish * 21 0-6 0-5 1-2 7 1 1 0 1 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 23 4-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 8 - -
Jabari Parker 22 8-11 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 18 - -
Evan Turner 16 4-4 0-0 1-1 0 4 1 0 9 - -
Bruno Fernando 14 3-6 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Kevin Huerter 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 - -
Vince Carter 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 36 8-12 0-0 5-6 12 2 4 1 21 - -
Tony Snell * 33 3-8 3-7 0-0 2 2 0 1 9 - -
Markieff Morris * 25 3-11 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 7 - -
Bruce Brown * 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Reggie Jackson * 15 2-8 0-3 1-1 4 3 0 0 5 - -
Luke Kennard 30 3-12 3-9 4-4 4 3 1 0 13 - -
Derrick Rose 25 11-16 0-1 5-5 1 3 0 0 27 - -
Langston Galloway 25 2-9 2-7 2-2 3 3 1 1 8 - -
Thon Maker 19 0-1 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 2 1 - -
Tim Frazier 10 2-5 1-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 7 - -

* = starter