Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -8 (100-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 4-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 11-12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 23 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 10-21 | 3-10 | 9-10 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 5-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 12 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Skal Labissiere | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter