🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-10-24

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% - ✓
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 ✗ (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% - ✓
Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.6% 69.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.3% 67.7% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (120-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Morris Sr. * 39 9-18 3-7 5-5 4 1 3 0 26 - -
RJ Barrett * 37 9-13 1-3 2-4 5 2 2 0 21 - -
Julius Randle * 35 10-18 1-4 4-6 11 6 3 0 25 - -
Bobby Portis * 33 4-10 0-3 0-1 7 5 2 0 8 - -
Allonzo Trier * 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Elfrid Payton 26 4-9 1-2 2-2 2 8 5 0 11 - -
Kevin Knox II 21 5-9 3-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 13 - -
Taj Gibson 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Wayne Ellington 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Frank Ntilikina 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 35 8-15 1-1 5-5 8 1 0 2 22 - -
Bryn Forbes * 32 7-12 3-6 3-3 5 1 0 0 20 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 31 3-10 0-1 7-11 4 4 0 1 13 - -
Trey Lyles * 24 3-4 0-1 2-2 11 0 0 0 8 - -
Dejounte Murray * 23 7-10 1-1 3-3 8 6 3 0 18 - -
Derrick White 22 3-6 0-0 3-5 2 3 0 0 9 - -
Rudy Gay 20 4-9 0-4 5-5 6 3 1 1 13 - -
Marco Belinelli 17 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Patty Mills 16 3-11 2-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 8 - -
Jakob Poeltl 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 6 - -

* = starter