Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (108-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 31 | 7-25 | 1-11 | 4-6 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 24 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga * | 22 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 28 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan McRae | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 16 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Justin Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 12-19 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 32 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 24 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 18 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter