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2019-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% - ✗
Margin 61.8% 38.2% -2.6 ✗ (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - ✗
Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% - ✗

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +14 (107-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 8-22 4-8 1-3 10 2 2 0 21 - -
Gordon Hayward * 35 8-15 0-0 9-11 5 2 0 0 25 - -
Kemba Walker * 34 4-18 1-6 3-4 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Enes Kanter * 24 5-8 0-1 2-7 6 2 0 0 12 - -
Jaylen Brown * 20 3-6 1-2 1-3 7 0 1 0 8 - -
Marcus Smart 33 2-7 0-4 0-0 4 8 0 0 4 - -
Carsen Edwards 11 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Robert Williams III 10 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 5 - -
Daniel Theis 9 0-1 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Semi Ojeleye 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Grant Williams 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Brad Wanamaker 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 37 6-11 2-5 1-2 15 4 2 0 15 - -
Ben Simmons * 34 11-16 0-0 2-5 8 9 0 0 24 - -
Josh Richardson * 33 4-12 0-4 9-9 6 2 1 2 17 - -
Al Horford * 31 5-13 1-6 5-6 2 3 1 0 16 - -
Joel Embiid * 23 5-14 1-4 4-8 13 3 0 3 15 - -
Matisse Thybulle 21 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 2 3 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 19 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
James Ennis III 16 0-3 0-2 3-4 6 0 0 0 3 - -
Mike Scott 16 2-7 0-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 6 - -
Kyle O'Quinn 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Shake Milton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Raul Neto 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter