Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -9 (110-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 40 | 12-18 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 32 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris * | 22 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 28 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 38 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 6 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| TJ Leaf | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter