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2019-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% - ✗
Margin 55.3% 44.7% -1.2 ✗ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - ✗
Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 57.7% 42.3% - ✗
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +1 (126-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 34 13-25 1-7 8-10 17 2 1 0 35 - -
Zach LaVine * 30 7-17 1-4 1-1 6 7 2 1 16 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 5-11 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 12 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 27 3-10 1-5 2-2 2 1 2 1 9 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 24 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 1 2 - -
Coby White 27 6-13 1-4 4-5 3 7 0 0 17 - -
Thaddeus Young 25 7-11 3-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 17 - -
Kris Dunn 23 5-7 0-2 1-2 2 2 4 0 11 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 10 2-3 2-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 37 9-17 7-11 2-2 4 1 1 1 27 - -
Cody Zeller * 35 6-11 0-2 3-4 12 1 0 0 15 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 33 8-21 2-8 4-6 5 3 2 0 22 - -
Miles Bridges * 31 4-7 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 3 8 - -
Terry Rozier * 30 2-10 2-6 1-1 4 6 0 0 7 - -
Devonte' Graham 27 7-9 6-7 3-3 4 8 0 0 23 - -
Marvin Williams 16 6-9 5-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 17 - -
Malik Monk 16 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Nicolas Batum 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter