Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +8 (130-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 41 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 27 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 28 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 19 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 12 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 11 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 44 | 4-15 | 3-11 | 11-13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 44 | 12-18 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 11-26 | 2-5 | 10-11 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 25 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter