๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2019-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 80.0% 20.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 69.3% 30.7% - โœ—
Margin 71.2% 28.8% -5.0 โœ— (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 60.5% 39.5% - โœ—

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +2 (113-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 36 6-13 2-8 2-2 5 11 0 0 3 16 16 -
Kawhi Leonard * 31 12-18 1-5 4-7 6 4 0 0 1 29 20 -
Pascal Siakam * 28 5-9 2-3 2-2 5 3 0 0 2 14 11 -
Marc Gasol * 26 1-2 1-1 3-3 6 2 0 1 1 6 12 -
Danny Green * 18 3-6 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
Fred VanVleet 30 4-8 1-2 3-4 3 5 0 2 3 12 11 -
Serge Ibaka 21 10-15 0-1 0-0 12 1 0 2 2 20 18 -
Norman Powell 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
OG Anunoby 15 1-4 0-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
Jeremy Lin 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 35 11-18 4-8 3-3 6 8 0 0 0 29 25 -
Dwayne Bacon * 34 4-13 0-6 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 8 4 -
Miles Bridges * 30 3-7 0-3 1-1 4 5 1 0 0 7 10 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 25 3-4 2-3 2-2 2 3 1 1 2 10 11 -
Bismack Biyombo * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Frank Kaminsky 36 8-19 2-8 4-6 13 2 0 0 1 22 17 -
Jeremy Lamb 26 9-16 2-5 2-2 5 4 3 0 0 22 18 -
Malik Monk 16 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 10 8 -
Nicolas Batum 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Devonte' Graham 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Willy Hernangomez 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter