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2019-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 62.2% 37.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 โœ“ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +14 (129-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwayne Bacon * 37 8-14 3-8 2-2 3 2 1 0 3 21 10 -
Kemba Walker * 37 9-18 1-7 5-5 2 6 1 0 4 24 11 -
Miles Bridges * 33 7-11 3-4 0-0 3 5 1 0 0 17 15 -
Marvin Williams * 29 5-11 3-6 0-0 5 1 3 1 1 13 11 -
Bismack Biyombo * 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 3 5 8 -
Devonte' Graham 22 4-6 2-4 1-1 1 4 0 0 1 11 9 -
Jeremy Lamb 19 1-11 1-5 4-4 5 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
Frank Kaminsky 16 4-6 2-2 3-3 4 3 2 1 0 13 17 -
Willy Hernangomez 9 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
Malik Monk 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rajon Rondo * 35 3-9 1-4 0-0 6 17 6 0 1 7 26 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 33 8-14 6-10 3-3 4 4 1 0 0 25 20 -
LeBron James * 31 11-19 4-7 1-2 3 9 0 0 6 27 14 -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 9-16 2-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 20 7 -
JaVale McGee * 26 4-6 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 2 1 10 16 -
Lance Stephenson 29 5-9 3-5 1-2 13 0 0 0 1 14 17 -
Johnathan Williams 21 6-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 13 9 -
Alex Caruso 17 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 7 1 -
Moritz Wagner 11 2-4 1-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Isaac Bonga 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Scott Machado 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter