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2019-02-27

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 20.7% 79.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +6 (125-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 39 11-22 2-7 11-12 6 3 1 1 2 35 22 -
Jrue Holiday * 35 8-19 1-9 2-3 7 10 0 0 3 19 14 -
Elfrid Payton * 30 3-12 0-1 0-0 11 9 0 1 1 6 14 -
Kenrich Williams * 24 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 2 1 -
Anthony Davis * 20 10-14 0-0 2-4 8 2 0 0 3 22 15 -
Frank Jackson 28 7-10 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 15 12 -
Darius Miller 25 3-9 3-9 2-3 3 3 1 1 2 11 8 -
Cheick Diallo 14 3-6 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
E'Twaun Moore 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ian Clark 7 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jahlil Okafor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Stanley Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 39 8-14 0-1 7-10 6 4 0 1 0 23 20 -
LeBron James * 37 13-24 4-9 3-8 6 10 2 1 2 33 26 -
Rajon Rondo * 37 5-15 1-4 0-0 7 16 2 0 2 11 19 -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 36 5-9 2-4 2-3 5 0 2 1 0 14 13 -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 9-15 0-3 4-6 5 2 0 1 1 22 14 -
Lance Stephenson 20 3-8 1-1 2-2 5 3 1 1 0 9 11 -
JaVale McGee 10 5-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 10 7 -
Josh Hart 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Mike Muscala 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 -
Tyson Chandler 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter