Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +23 (118-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Al Horford * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jaylen Brown | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Theis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 30 | 10-16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 25 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 19 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Danny Green * | 13 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 24 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marc Gasol | 23 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| OG Anunoby | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Norman Powell | 17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Patrick McCaw | 12 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Malcolm Miller | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Chris Boucher | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter