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2019-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 65.7% 34.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 โœ“ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +13 (128-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 11-17 3-6 2-6 7 12 4 1 4 27 30 -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 7-14 1-5 1-2 8 7 0 0 1 16 16 -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 29 2-6 2-4 3-4 2 2 0 1 2 9 6 -
Brandon Ingram * 25 10-18 3-4 6-9 5 3 0 0 5 29 14 -
JaVale McGee * 16 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 10 7 -
Josh Hart 29 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
Rajon Rondo 28 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 4 7 7 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 15 2-6 0-2 3-3 0 1 1 0 2 7 1 -
Lance Stephenson 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 4 6 -
Moritz Wagner 7 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
Tyson Chandler 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Alex Caruso 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 9-17 2-7 4-6 3 5 1 0 4 24 12 -
Elfrid Payton * 36 5-10 2-4 2-2 5 9 2 1 5 14 16 -
Kenrich Williams * 33 4-10 3-7 0-0 7 5 3 0 1 11 15 -
Jrue Holiday * 32 10-18 5-9 2-3 3 7 3 0 1 27 21 -
Jahlil Okafor * 13 4-7 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 10 7 -
Ian Clark 25 7-12 2-5 1-1 1 1 3 0 1 17 9 -
Frank Jackson 24 2-10 1-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Cheick Diallo 18 8-8 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 2 3 18 20 -
Stanley Johnson 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 2 4 -

* = starter