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2019-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 74.2% 25.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 โœ“ (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -12 (107-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 35 7-16 5-9 1-2 1 6 2 0 3 20 10 -
Kawhi Leonard * 34 3-11 2-7 16-17 7 3 3 0 3 24 23 -
Pascal Siakam * 30 7-15 2-6 0-3 6 2 1 0 2 16 8 -
Serge Ibaka * 27 10-15 0-1 0-0 10 3 0 0 1 20 17 -
Danny Green * 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 2 7 -
Fred VanVleet 25 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 3 4 -
Greg Monroe 17 5-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
Delon Wright 17 1-7 0-2 6-6 4 5 2 0 0 8 12 -
Norman Powell 16 5-6 1-2 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 14 9 -
OG Anunoby 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
CJ Miles 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 44 8-15 0-0 4-5 7 6 3 0 6 20 15 -
Joel Embiid * 42 10-20 3-7 14-15 13 2 1 3 4 37 32 -
Jimmy Butler III * 39 5-12 0-2 8-8 1 5 2 0 1 18 13 -
Landry Shamet * 33 2-8 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 -1 -
Mike Muscala * 31 1-3 0-2 6-7 4 1 0 0 1 8 9 -
T.J. McConnell 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 4 4 7 -
Furkan Korkmaz 19 2-8 1-6 6-6 1 0 1 0 1 11 4 -
Jonah Bolden 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter