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2019-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 47.8% 52.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% - ✓
Margin 23.1% 76.9% +6.6 ✓ (35.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - ✓
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 34.3% 65.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers +42 (136-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 30 7-12 2-5 2-3 7 9 1 0 6 18 17 -
Brandon Ingram * 29 4-8 0-0 4-5 6 1 0 0 1 12 10 -
Rajon Rondo * 28 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 6 0 1 3 3 4 -
Kyle Kuzma * 24 5-13 0-4 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 12 -1 -
Ivica Zubac * 19 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
Lance Stephenson 28 3-7 0-2 7-8 1 2 1 0 2 13 8 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 23 1-6 0-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
JaVale McGee 15 7-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 1 0 16 14 -
Moritz Wagner 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 5 3 -
Michael Beasley 12 0-8 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 12 1-3 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 1 0 5 6 -
Tyson Chandler 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanović * 32 10-17 4-10 0-0 1 5 1 0 5 24 9 -
Tyreke Evans * 25 2-7 2-4 1-2 6 6 1 0 1 7 12 -
Darren Collison * 25 2-6 1-1 0-0 4 5 4 0 0 5 12 -
Thaddeus Young * 24 6-12 0-0 0-0 11 8 2 0 2 12 19 -
Myles Turner * 22 9-12 3-3 1-2 1 0 0 4 0 22 15 -
Aaron Holiday 22 7-10 3-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 17 12 -
Domantas Sabonis 21 7-10 0-1 3-4 4 4 0 0 2 17 13 -
Cory Joseph 20 5-7 3-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 13 14 -
Edmond Sumner 17 7-9 3-4 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 17 13 -
T.J. Leaf 14 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 0 1 -
Kyle O'Quinn 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Davon Reed 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter