๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2019-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 1.6% 98.4% +17.2 โœ“ (15.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 8.1% 91.9% - โœ“
Margin 3.7% 96.3% +17.9 โœ“ (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“

Actual: Toronto Raptors +2 (111-109). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 40 5-16 1-4 0-0 6 0 2 2 1 11 4 -
Deandre Ayton * 35 6-8 0-0 3-4 17 2 2 2 2 15 28 -
Devin Booker * 35 10-21 4-9 6-9 2 8 0 0 6 30 13 -
Mikal Bridges * 30 5-8 1-4 4-4 5 4 0 1 0 15 17 -
De'Anthony Melton * 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 2 5 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 29 3-16 1-6 11-13 9 1 0 0 2 18 10 -
Josh Jackson 18 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 7 6 -
Elie Okobo 15 2-3 1-2 3-4 1 0 2 0 1 8 7 -
Richaun Holmes 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 3 3 0 -
Quincy Acy 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 39 4-15 2-10 6-9 9 8 2 0 4 16 16 -
Pascal Siakam * 33 4-8 0-3 2-2 12 5 1 2 1 10 21 -
Serge Ibaka * 31 11-19 0-1 0-2 6 1 0 1 3 22 8 -
Fred VanVleet * 31 6-11 1-3 2-2 2 4 0 1 0 15 11 -
Danny Green * 26 3-6 1-3 2-3 1 1 1 0 0 9 6 -
Norman Powell 20 1-4 0-1 2-2 1 2 2 0 2 4 3 -
Delon Wright 18 4-5 0-0 2-2 0 5 1 0 1 10 10 -
CJ Miles 17 5-7 3-5 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 13 11 -
Greg Monroe 11 4-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 2 9 7 -
Patrick McCaw 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Chris Boucher 5 1-3 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 -

* = starter