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2019-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% +7.6 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (107-100). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 32 4-11 1-4 1-2 4 8 0 0 3 10 8 -
Kris Dunn * 31 2-7 0-1 2-2 5 4 1 2 5 6 6 -
Lauri Markkanen * 31 6-14 3-8 2-2 3 0 1 1 1 17 7 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 28 3-9 0-1 0-0 10 2 1 1 3 6 8 -
Chandler Hutchison * 26 5-9 0-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 12 10 -
Shaquille Harrison 24 3-10 1-4 3-7 3 0 1 1 0 10 5 -
Ryan Arcidiacono 19 3-5 1-2 5-5 2 1 2 1 0 12 13 -
Bobby Portis 16 1-11 0-4 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jabari Parker 16 7-10 2-4 2-4 3 2 2 0 0 18 15 -
Wayne Selden 9 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Cristiano Felicio 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 39 7-13 0-2 2-4 9 7 1 0 3 16 17 -
Lonzo Ball * 37 8-17 3-7 0-0 8 6 2 0 3 19 15 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 31 4-11 1-6 8-10 4 1 2 0 1 17 12 -
Kyle Kuzma * 30 6-15 1-6 3-4 12 2 0 0 5 16 10 -
Tyson Chandler * 26 3-3 0-0 2-4 3 2 0 1 0 8 11 -
Josh Hart 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 2 6 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 16 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
JaVale McGee 13 3-10 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 3 0 9 7 -
Michael Beasley 10 1-4 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Ivica Zubac 7 2-2 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 7 9 -
Lance Stephenson 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -

* = starter