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2018-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% +0.9 ✓ (0.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% - ✓
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 ✓ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - ✓
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.9% 55.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - ✓

Actual: Sacramento Kings +1 (117-116). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 40 12-24 2-8 7-9 9 4 0 0 6 33 16 -
Brandon Ingram * 37 8-19 1-4 5-8 3 2 1 2 5 22 6 -
Lonzo Ball * 36 8-13 4-6 0-0 9 12 2 1 2 20 29 -
Josh Hart * 32 4-8 2-3 0-0 4 2 3 1 0 10 12 -
Ivica Zubac * 20 3-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 27 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
Tyson Chandler 20 4-4 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 0 3 11 14 -
Lance Stephenson 19 4-8 1-4 1-1 2 3 1 0 0 10 8 -
Alex Caruso 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Iman Shumpert * 36 6-12 6-8 0-0 6 3 4 1 0 18 20 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 34 9-15 0-0 1-2 9 5 0 1 1 19 18 -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 6-20 0-3 3-4 9 12 2 0 4 15 14 -
Buddy Hield * 29 2-8 0-2 2-2 5 0 3 1 2 6 5 -
Nemanja Bjelica * 28 7-13 0-2 4-5 6 3 0 1 1 18 14 -
Bogdan Bogdanović 30 9-16 3-7 2-3 1 1 1 1 4 23 7 -
Justin Jackson 27 2-8 1-4 5-5 6 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
Ben McLemore 7 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Kosta Koufos 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Yogi Ferrell 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter