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2018-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 โœ— (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.9% 54.1% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -4 (104-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ * 35 10-20 3-8 8-8 15 7 2 3 3 31 35 -
Aaron Gordon * 31 8-14 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 17 7 -
D.J. Augustin * 29 5-9 1-4 1-1 5 9 0 0 1 12 16 -
Evan Fournier * 27 2-10 0-2 2-3 2 2 0 0 1 6 -1 -
Wes Iwundu * 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Terrence Ross 28 6-12 4-7 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 16 10 -
Jonathon Simmons 25 4-11 0-2 2-2 4 4 0 1 1 10 7 -
Jonathan Isaac 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
Jerian Grant 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 6 1 0 2 5 7 -
Mo Bamba 11 2-4 1-1 0-0 4 0 2 1 0 5 8 -
Jarell Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 40 8-14 2-7 6-11 4 7 0 1 6 24 16 -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 7-15 2-4 5-7 4 5 1 0 1 21 15 -
Brandon Ingram * 31 7-14 0-2 3-5 6 1 2 0 5 17 7 -
Lonzo Ball * 28 4-9 1-2 0-0 10 2 0 1 1 9 12 -
JaVale McGee * 24 5-9 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 7 1 12 16 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 27 1-7 1-4 2-2 2 1 5 1 1 5 6 -
Josh Hart 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
Tyson Chandler 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
Lance Stephenson 14 4-8 4-6 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 13 9 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter