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2018-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 68.5% 31.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 63.1% 36.9% - โœ—
Margin 62.4% 37.6% -2.8 โœ— (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 72.8% 27.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 64.7% 35.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 55.6% 44.4% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (126-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 8-23 3-9 12-13 8 11 0 1 2 31 26 -
Jusuf Nurkiฤ‡ * 35 7-13 0-0 7-8 14 1 3 4 2 21 28 -
CJ McCollum * 35 9-20 3-8 2-2 1 4 2 0 2 23 8 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 34 7-11 4-7 0-0 5 0 0 3 3 18 12 -
Jake Layman * 23 2-2 2-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 6 8 -
Evan Turner 27 3-9 0-1 0-0 7 6 0 1 1 6 10 -
Zach Collins 15 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 5 -2 -
Nik Stauskas 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
Meyers Leonard 8 3-5 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
Seth Curry 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 13-19 5-6 13-15 10 9 1 3 4 44 44 -
Brandon Ingram * 32 6-15 1-3 4-5 2 4 1 0 0 17 9 -
Lonzo Ball * 32 4-11 3-5 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 11 8 -
Kyle Kuzma * 25 3-8 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
JaVale McGee * 23 9-12 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 2 1 20 15 -
Josh Hart 23 2-7 2-6 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 6 4 -
Tyson Chandler 20 1-1 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 4 10 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 17 4-8 3-4 2-2 4 2 2 0 1 13 12 -
Rajon Rondo 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 0 2 -
Lance Stephenson 12 2-8 0-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter