🐻⬇️🏀

@
2018-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 90.3% 9.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 70.0% 30.0% - ✓
Margin 71.3% 28.7% -5.0 ✓ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% - ✓
Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 71.0% 29.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 71.1% 28.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 60.6% 39.4% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (107-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 34 8-14 0-1 0-0 13 3 1 0 2 16 17 -
Kyle Lowry * 33 8-19 3-7 2-2 6 15 2 1 1 21 25 -
Serge Ibaka * 29 15-17 1-1 3-3 10 2 2 0 1 34 30 -
Danny Green * 25 5-8 5-8 0-0 3 3 0 2 1 15 14 -
OG Anunoby * 24 3-9 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 -
Fred VanVleet 23 0-6 0-4 3-4 0 2 0 0 5 3 -6 -
Delon Wright 21 5-8 0-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 11 7 -
Jonas Valančiūnas 17 5-9 0-1 4-4 8 1 2 1 0 14 17 -
CJ Miles 16 0-6 0-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Norman Powell 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 0 1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 34 7-11 0-1 2-3 1 3 0 1 1 16 9 -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 10-16 0-4 4-5 5 2 0 0 3 24 12 -
LeBron James * 28 6-12 2-3 4-7 2 6 0 1 3 18 12 -
Lonzo Ball * 23 5-7 2-3 0-0 9 4 2 0 2 12 18 -
JaVale McGee * 17 1-6 0-0 6-6 6 2 0 2 2 8 10 -
Josh Hart 29 1-5 1-4 3-3 5 1 3 0 0 6 10 -
Rajon Rondo 24 4-9 1-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 1 10 5 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 16 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Lance Stephenson 12 2-8 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -5 -
Ivica Zubac 11 1-3 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter