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2018-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - โœ—
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 โœ— (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 29.3% 70.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% - โœ—

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 33 3-10 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 0 3 8 2 -
LeBron James * 31 9-20 1-5 9-11 5 7 0 2 3 28 19 -
Kyle Kuzma * 28 5-10 1-3 1-3 6 0 0 1 1 12 8 -
JaVale McGee * 27 6-8 0-0 0-2 9 1 1 6 2 12 19 -
Lonzo Ball * 18 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 3 1 -
Rajon Rondo 25 8-10 1-1 0-0 10 6 3 0 4 17 22 -
Josh Hart 25 3-3 2-2 3-4 0 1 1 2 0 11 12 -
Ivica Zubac 19 4-5 0-0 1-1 8 0 1 0 2 9 11 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 15 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 7 5 -
Lance Stephenson 15 3-10 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 7 -1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 35 13-24 2-8 2-2 5 4 0 0 3 30 12 -
Damian Lillard * 35 10-23 2-9 8-8 4 4 3 0 0 30 18 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 32 2-8 0-2 0-0 13 2 2 2 0 4 15 -
Jusuf Nurkiฤ‡ * 30 5-13 0-2 4-6 13 2 1 2 2 14 17 -
Jake Layman * 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 0 6 11 -
Evan Turner 23 4-7 1-2 2-4 3 3 0 0 3 11 7 -
Seth Curry 21 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 -1 -
Zach Collins 17 5-10 0-3 0-2 1 1 0 1 2 10 1 -
Nik Stauskas 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 3 1 -
Caleb Swanigan 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Meyers Leonard 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -

* = starter