Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +4 (110-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 13-21 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 27 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 31 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Lonzo Ball * | 26 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Rajon Rondo | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 22 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Johnathan Williams | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 14-23 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 26 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Bryn Forbes * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Davis Bertans * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rudy Gay | 32 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Patty Mills | 25 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 22 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Pau Gasol | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
* = starter