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2018-10-24

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.1% 32.9% - โœ“
Margin 69.4% 30.6% -4.5 โœ“ (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 86.2% 13.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.9% 30.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.4% 40.6% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns -18 (113-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 29 7-15 0-2 3-3 4 1 0 1 0 17 8 -
LeBron James * 28 7-16 1-5 4-4 7 10 3 0 0 19 23 -
Lonzo Ball * 28 5-9 1-3 1-1 7 6 2 0 2 12 16 -
Josh Hart * 26 5-8 4-6 1-2 2 2 2 0 1 15 12 -
JaVale McGee * 25 8-13 1-2 3-6 6 2 1 4 0 20 20 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 32 6-14 1-6 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 14 3 -
Lance Stephenson 25 10-14 1-2 2-2 8 8 2 0 3 23 24 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 22 1-6 1-2 1-2 0 2 2 0 1 4 1 -
Johnathan Williams 20 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 7 9 -
Ivica Zubac 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 33 4-9 3-6 3-4 2 4 0 0 2 14 9 -
Deandre Ayton * 31 11-14 0-0 0-1 11 3 0 3 0 22 25 -
Devin Booker * 29 8-16 2-6 5-7 7 7 0 0 4 23 17 -
Isaiah Canaan * 28 2-8 0-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 4 0 -
Ryan Anderson * 19 4-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 9 7 -
T.J. Warren 28 3-8 1-2 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 10 3 -
Josh Jackson 25 4-10 2-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 4 10 3 -
Tyson Chandler 14 5-7 0-0 4-5 11 0 0 0 1 14 17 -
Jamal Crawford 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 5 3 -
Mikal Bridges 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 2 3 -
Richaun Holmes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter