Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -1 (142-143). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 45 | 11-29 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 24 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 39 | 13-22 | 0-0 | 11-18 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 31 | - |
| Bryn Forbes * | 37 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 33 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 29 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - |
| Patty Mills | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 23 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Pau Gasol | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Davis Bertans | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 45 | 15-25 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 21 | - |
| LeBron James * | 42 | 11-25 | 2-8 | 8-11 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 26 | - |
| Lonzo Ball * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Josh Hart | 38 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Johnathan Williams | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ivica Zubac | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter