Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (116-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 38 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 10-20 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| CJ Miles | 24 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Delon Wright | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Pascal Siakam | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Norman Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 28 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| James Johnson * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 22 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Rodney McGruder * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 37 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 35 | 12-16 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Bam Adebayo | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 16 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
* = starter