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2018-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 51.9% 48.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -6 (99-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 30 3-12 0-8 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 6 -1 -
James Harden * 30 6-15 3-7 6-6 4 10 1 1 6 21 16 -
Chris Paul * 27 9-14 4-7 0-0 3 6 1 0 0 22 18 -
P.J. Tucker * 22 2-6 2-6 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
Clint Capela * 21 5-9 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 0 1 10 13 -
Eric Gordon 27 2-9 2-9 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 6 0 -
Gerald Green 23 5-10 3-6 3-3 6 0 1 0 2 16 11 -
Joe Johnson 13 2-2 2-2 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
Nene Hilario 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Tarik Black 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
Luc Mbah a Moute 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Tim Quarterman 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Zhou Qi 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 3 2 1 3 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 39 8-17 2-8 2-2 7 0 2 0 1 20 11 -
Alex Caruso * 26 3-8 1-4 2-2 4 6 2 0 3 9 10 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 21 1-8 1-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 3 1 -
Julius Randle * 17 7-12 0-1 3-3 8 1 2 0 3 17 13 -
Brook Lopez * 16 5-11 1-5 1-1 4 0 0 0 2 12 3 -
Andre Ingram 29 6-8 4-5 3-3 3 1 1 3 1 19 18 -
Tyler Ennis 23 4-7 0-0 2-2 4 4 2 0 2 10 11 -
Ivica Zubac 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 2 4 -
Channing Frye 14 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 4 3 -
Travis Wear 14 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 3 4 -
Gary Payton II 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Thomas Bryant 7 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter