Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (88-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 40 | 8-22 | 2-10 | 7-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 8 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 5-18 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 37 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 34 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 29 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 16 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Ed Davis | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Zach Collins | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Swanigan | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 39 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 33 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Gary Harris | 18 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Devin Harris | 13 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Torrey Craig | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trey Lyles | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter