Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -22 (93-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 37 | 8-21 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Paul George * | 36 | 7-19 | 5-13 | 8-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Raymond Felton | 13 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Alex Abrines | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Terrance Ferguson | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Josh Huestis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Collison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dakari Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 33 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| James Johnson * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 20 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 34 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 24 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Bam Adebayo | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rodney McGruder | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter