Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✗ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Knicks +24 (122-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| James Johnson * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 23 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Josh Richardson * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 17 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rodney McGruder | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 19 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Bam Adebayo | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 6 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Ntilikina * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 29 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn * | 21 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Damyean Dotson | 35 | 12-21 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Courtney Lee | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 21 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Emmanuel Mudiay | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter