Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Motley * | 40 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 31 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Dwight Powell * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Harrison | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Jones | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 42 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Stanley Johnson * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 35 | 11-18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 34 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Langston Galloway | 25 | 5-14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Henry Ellenson | 18 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Ish Smith | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| James Ennis III | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter