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2018-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 59.4% 40.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +18 (96-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 31 5-13 1-4 5-5 4 0 1 1 0 16 9 -
Jayson Tatum * 28 4-10 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 8 4 -
Jaylen Brown * 28 4-9 1-2 0-1 2 0 1 0 2 9 1 -
Terry Rozier * 27 1-9 0-2 0-0 9 3 0 2 2 2 5 -
Aron Baynes * 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Marcus Morris Sr. 34 7-14 1-4 6-7 5 0 1 0 5 21 8 -
Greg Monroe 23 4-7 0-0 9-9 8 3 0 0 2 17 19 -
Kadeem Allen 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Semi Ojeleye 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Xavier Silas 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Abdel Nader 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Guerschon Yabusele 2 0-1 0-1 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Jabari Bird 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 32 5-11 2-7 1-2 5 5 1 1 3 13 11 -
Serge Ibaka * 29 7-13 1-4 0-0 6 2 1 2 1 15 12 -
DeMar DeRozan * 27 6-17 3-4 1-1 3 2 1 1 0 16 6 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 13 2-8 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
OG Anunoby * 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Delon Wright 26 4-9 0-0 0-0 9 8 2 2 2 8 18 -
Fred VanVleet 23 5-10 3-6 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 15 12 -
Lucas Nogueira 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 6 6 -
Pascal Siakam 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 2 0 0 3 5 -
Jakob Poeltl 16 4-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 0 2 9 7 -
CJ Miles 15 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Norman Powell 10 0-4 0-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter