Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (115-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 37 | 7-18 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 6-20 | 2-10 | 15-15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 24 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Zach Collins | 23 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 13 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Swanigan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 28 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 24 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 20 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 31 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Harrison | 25 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 18 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 14 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter