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2018-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 33 7-13 0-2 5-5 3 7 1 0 1 19 16 -
Serge Ibaka * 29 6-14 2-5 2-4 12 1 0 1 2 16 14 -
Kyle Lowry * 28 2-11 1-7 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 5 0 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 22 8-15 0-1 1-1 10 1 0 0 1 17 12 -
OG Anunoby * 21 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Pascal Siakam 23 5-10 0-1 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 10 9 -
Fred VanVleet 22 3-10 3-5 0-0 2 6 1 0 0 9 8 -
CJ Miles 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
Jakob Poeltl 17 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 4 7 -
Delon Wright 14 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 7 6 -
Norman Powell 2 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
Lucas Nogueira 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 0 4 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 37 8-14 3-6 8-11 10 6 0 0 5 27 24 -
Kevin Love * 29 4-8 4-6 6-6 15 1 1 0 0 18 27 -
Rodney Hood * 29 6-12 1-3 4-4 0 2 2 0 0 17 9 -
Jose Calderon * 26 7-11 3-5 2-2 4 4 2 1 1 19 18 -
Jeff Green * 25 5-10 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 3 1 12 7 -
JR Smith 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 0 -
Jordan Clarkson 18 3-11 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 6 -3 -
Larry Nance Jr. 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 0 6 6 -
Kyle Korver 14 1-3 0-2 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
Tristan Thompson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 0 8 -
Cedi Osman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
John Holland 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ante Zizic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter