Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +11 (98-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 10-19 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 32 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Powell * | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 17 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Nerlens Noel | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Harrison | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 5-21 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Rodney Hood * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| JR Smith | 26 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Green | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Cedi Osman | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| London Perrantes | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ante Zizic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter