Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +17 (100-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 35 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 28 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Green | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joe Johnson | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tarik Black | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tim Quarterman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patty Mills * | 37 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 35 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Danny Green * | 29 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Anderson * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Rudy Gay | 23 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tony Parker | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Bryn Forbes | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Pau Gasol | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Paul | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dāvis Bertāns | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joffrey Lauvergne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter