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2018-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% -
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -1 (125-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 45 5-12 3-6 2-2 4 5 1 1 5 15 9 -
Nikola Jokić * 41 11-22 1-6 0-0 16 6 1 2 4 23 22 -
Will Barton * 40 7-15 1-6 3-3 7 5 0 0 2 18 13 -
Paul Millsap * 39 13-18 2-3 8-11 9 2 0 0 1 36 28 -
Wilson Chandler * 22 1-6 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 2 5 -
Devin Harris 33 4-6 2-4 2-2 3 2 2 0 1 12 12 -
Torrey Craig 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
Mason Plumlee 14 3-5 0-0 3-3 6 2 0 1 0 9 13 -
Trey Lyles 10 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 6 5 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 44 12-32 4-9 5-8 9 13 2 1 2 33 24 -
Paul George * 41 4-12 1-3 4-7 6 4 3 0 2 13 12 -
Corey Brewer * 34 4-7 1-4 1-2 6 3 0 0 0 10 12 -
Steven Adams * 33 3-8 0-0 1-4 10 5 4 0 0 7 18 -
Carmelo Anthony * 33 9-21 5-10 0-0 9 0 1 1 0 23 13 -
Jerami Grant 24 5-9 2-3 4-6 4 0 2 0 2 16 11 -
Raymond Felton 18 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
Alex Abrines 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Patrick Patterson 14 3-7 3-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 9 6 -
Terrance Ferguson 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter