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2018-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +10 (103-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 24 7-15 2-7 1-1 4 0 2 0 2 17 6 -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 22 5-13 4-7 0-2 1 8 0 0 1 14 9 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 21 4-7 3-5 2-2 7 1 0 1 0 13 15 -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 20 2-5 1-4 2-2 2 2 2 0 2 7 6 -
Dwight Powell * 19 3-5 0-2 0-0 5 1 3 0 0 6 10 -
Maxi Kleber 26 2-5 1-4 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 7 9 -
Aaron Harrison 21 0-5 0-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Nerlens Noel 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 5 7 -
Yogi Ferrell 20 4-12 1-4 3-4 2 3 0 0 1 12 4 -
Doug McDermott 18 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Kyle Collinsworth 10 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Johnathan Motley 7 1-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Jalen Jones 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 38 8-16 2-5 4-4 7 4 1 1 0 22 19 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 35 2-8 0-4 3-3 9 2 1 0 4 7 7 -
Julius Randle * 33 7-10 0-0 6-9 10 2 1 0 3 20 20 -
Lonzo Ball * 24 3-7 1-3 1-2 4 5 0 0 1 8 9 -
Brandon Ingram * 23 4-10 1-3 4-6 6 4 1 0 3 13 11 -
Kyle Kuzma 34 7-14 3-10 1-4 4 3 0 1 2 18 10 -
Travis Wear 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Alex Caruso 15 1-6 0-4 3-4 1 3 0 1 1 5 3 -
Tyler Ennis 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 5 -
Ivica Zubac 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 0 0 7 -

* = starter