Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -6 (97-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Maxi Kleber * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Harrison * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 24 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 19 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 22 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 19 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Johnathan Motley | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Jones | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Skal Labissiere * | 30 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Frank Mason III | 26 | 1-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 25 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 14 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Bruno Caboclo | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Vince Carter | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter